IDF Spring 2001 - Part I

Intel Developers Forum Fall '99 Report

Intel Developer Forum 1998 - Palm Springs

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IDF Spring 2001 - Part II
Краткое содержание статьи: Here's the second part of our IDF-blurb. What about USB 2.0 or 1394b? What's the 'Extended PC' and who needs it? Will P2P drive Pentium 4? How much of Intel's future projections is fact and how much is fiction?

IDF Spring 2001 - Part II

Редакция THG,  5 марта 2001
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Now that Intel's Developer Forum is done until the Fall, we can start looking forward to a couple of events that will have some impact on how the PC will evolve in the next couple of years. First, there is WinHEC, Microsoft's Hardware Engineering Conference in Anaheim, California at the end of March. If nothing else, at least will get to see AMD, and maybe we shouldn't be so caught up in Wintel anymore, and start thinking about WAMDEL. Yeah, just what we need, another cute moniker.

Who are we kidding? WinHEC will help to put into perspective everything that Intel has been touting at IDF. It's still going to be Microsoft that puts out the software that the next generation of hardware needs to convince us that we need that new system, or some cool peripheral. At WinHEC, unlike IDF, we should be able to see Matrox, 3Dlabs, and hopefully more of ATI. We know that Nvidia is going to be ubiquitous by virtue of X-Box, and that product is going to be something that will either make or break Microsoft's consumer strategy, and by association, Intel's plans for the home, too.

While we can get into digital photography, and digital video as been "high-bandwidth" applications that will make Pentium 4 palatable, it's the gamers and the enthusiasts who drive high-end adoption. If the high-end user says, we don't need no P4. You can bet that you don't need a P4 for anything but vanity purposes. Yeah, there are people out there who still think it is their duty to upgrade on the basis of what Microsoft and Intel put out every year. We certainly hope those people didn't fall for Windows ME, and we can't tell what they're going to make of the immediate benefits of Whistler.

We are also very keenly aware that DirectX, and the 3D graphics portion of Microsoft's strategy has been pretty much handed on a plate to Nvidia. Good or bad, it's going to be worth seeing what "other" graphics companies have to say. Intel seems to have abandoned 3D graphics as cornerstone of its high-end strategy. Who can blame the company when it so badly wants to be Cisco, and IBM.

The second event to look forward to is E3, the Electronic Entertainment Expo. If WinHEC is going to give us the corporate and business pitch for the PC, E3 is going to give us the perspective on the consumer market. Will ATI be able to get back at Nvidia with Nintendo? Where is Sony going to take PlayStation 2 when it comes to providing an alternative to the PC-centric home? Are we going to really see the game industry lining up behind X-Box, or just paying lip service?

So, we shouldn't take everything that IDF threw out us, and accept it as gospel. This is Intel's wish list, or if you are an OEM, "guidance" on platform issues. The first big thrust of Intel's strategy on the client is The Extended PC - a nice way telling you that if you are not going to fall in line and upgrade your hardware the way Intel wants you to then, the company will go after all those nifty gadgets that you attach to it.
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